Can life begin by chance?

                When an evolutionist claims that natural selection explains the origin of life,
                he's left out an enormous prerequisite. Natural selection can't select until there
                is something for it to select. That's true for the start of life, and for any new
                proteins to evolve. At KGOV.com, we find the following statement almost universally
                ignored by evolutionists: Natural selection cannot select something until it exists.

                And by Darwinian naturalism, whatever is to be preserved must first come into existence
                by either random mutation or chance chemical reactions. Therefore, probability is directly
                relevant to the feasibility of evolution, although Darwinists widely ignore this discipline.
                So, can life (or even one of countless unique proteins) evolve by chance? Remember, before
                natural selection can preserve them, THEY FIRST MUST COME INTO EXISTENCE!

                So, let's start with a far easier question, to help us comprehend this enormous difficulty:
                Let's give the evolutionist their claimed fifteen billion years of the universe, and see if a
                random number generator can get the 26-letter English alphabet in order by chance.
                This is a parallel to Life Beginning, or random mutations producing a Brand New Protein,
                (which natural selection could then propagate).

                To demonstrate this challenge, one of the world's premiere software engineers (you probably
                have used his software without knowing it) from Boulder, Colorado developed a program for
                us, called Evolve.exe, that rolls the dice to get the letters of the alphabet in their correct
                order by random chance. The program uses the best available random-number generator.
                So far, we have run 57 trillion iterations, and our best result so far has been getting fourteen
                letters in their correct position, twice, as follows:

       57,824,895,700,000 trials, that's over fifty-seven trillion attempts!  Twice we hit 14 correct:

                If you run this program (we've run it for ten years), you'll get a feel for the harsh reality of
                probabilities. How long will it take to get all 26 letters correct?

                One year contains about 31,557,600 seconds. If your PC runs Evolve at 100,000 trials per second,
                you'll see 3,155,760,000,000 iterations in one year, i.e., 3.16 trillion trials per year.  The probability
                of getting each letter in its correct position is 1 out of 26 tries, and so it will take (on average) 26
                to the 26th power (26^26) trials to get the entire alphabet correct (and then natural selection would
                have something to work on, let's say, like the first life, or a brand new protein). At 100,000 trials per
                second it should take about:
                26^26 (trials) / 3,155,760,000,000 (trials/year) = 1,950,756,580,000,000,000,000,000 years!

                That's 1.95 septillion years! And evolutionists claim the entire universe is only about 15,000,000,000
                (15 billion) years old. We're missing a serious number of zeroes here for feasible alphabet evolution.

                Just imagine for the actual evolution of life, if after a septillion-trillion years, a single protein molecule
                formed in nature, and then nature, being its brutal self, simply destroyed it. What a waste of time!

                Let's have one billion people run the KGOV Evolve program in parallel (averaging 100,000 trials/second),
                then it will only take about 1,950,756,580,000,000 years = 1.95 quadrillion years, still far longer than
                the entire supposed age of the universe, and you'd still only have a 26-letter alphabet, which is nothing
                as compared to the complexity of a simple protein!

                So, here is the sentence that most evolutionists we debate refuse to acknowledge: Natural selection
                cannot work until it has something to select! Thus the probability is wildly unachievable in our universe for
                random chemical reactions to produce the first life, or for mutation to produce a brand new protein.

                Your PC can help us demonstrate the significance of probability regarding evolution. Download Evolve.exe
                and make a few billion attempts at getting the alphabet in order, by random chance.  We will pay $1,500
                to the first person to get 15 letters correct!

                              download evolve now!         the science behind evolve

                                        send us you results!         see combined results

                The first prize we offered, for $500 was won and paid! Now the stakes go even higher. We want to
                pay you $1,500 if you are the first person to get 15 letters correct running evolve. So please,
                download evolve and give evolution a try!

© 2006 Bob Enyart Live  You may want to listen to KGOV's infamous 73-second excerpt of Bob Enyart debating with Scientific American
                                                        editor Michael Shermer, or listen to the whole show  (or better quality at 56 kbps).  Also, you may enjoy reading Bob's
                                                        170-page, 10-round moderated debate titled Does God Exist?